一类偏差分方程的振动性

主要研究了偏差分方程pu_(m+2),n+u_(m,n+2)+qu_(m+1,n)-u_(m,n+1)+ru_(m,n)=0,解的振动性,其中参数p,q,r是实数,m,n为非负整数.     

卫星运动预测及规避的建模与求解

近年来,随着各国侦查卫星系统的不断完善,有效根据观测数据预测卫星的轨迹,同时建立适当的规避防范措施变得尤为重要·通过研究地面监测站监测的卫星数据及地理信息,提出了一种基于三维坐标系变换的卫星轨迹求解模型,具体建立模型的方法为:建立4种不同的坐标系,通过卫星坐标在4种坐标系中的变换,将地面检测站检测到的卫星数据进行处理,拟合出卫星的六个运动参数,得出卫星运动轨迹方程,并较为精准的预测卫星被观测站观测到的情况,以及任意时刻星下点的经纬度坐标.针对卫星的运动情况,为满足我方军事目标的运动需求,根据新疆地图建立军队行军路线的有向图,然后,在考虑卫星规避的情况下对每条路线进行模拟分析,最终,通过每条路线模拟分析的结果进行比对,得出最优的行军路线.     

循环取货模式下的多车场协同运输问题研究

分析循环取货模式和协同运输问题的关联性,提出了供需节点分离下的多车场一体化协同运输路线优化问题,考虑运输价值和运输成本,引入节点-弧流量的概念,通过比较流量大小确定节点集合,构建了问题的多供应点、多需求点运输模型.考虑取货的单向性和送货的闭合性,构造了求解模型的两阶段算法,运用动态规划的递推解法确定取货最优路线,然后基于余弦定理的几何法求解出发点和返回点不相同的送货路径优化问题,最后通过算例分析,说明了模型的合理性和算法的有效性.     

基于动态自适应t分布变异的人群搜索算法

针对人群搜索算法在进化后期大量个体聚集局部最优时,易陷入局部最优,搜索精度低的缺陷,提出一种基于t分布变异的人群搜索算法.算法使用动态自适应方式确定变异步长,引入t分布变异算子以融合柯西变异和高斯变异的优点,促进算法在进化早期具备良好的全局探索能力,在进化后期收获较强的局部开发能力,增加种群的多样性;采用边界缓冲墙策略处理越界问题,避免越界个体聚集在边界值上的缺陷.实验结果表明,算法比基本人群搜索算法具有更高的寻优精度和收敛速度,是一种有效的算法.     

SWEIA艾滋病毒传染模型及应用

人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)是一种严重威胁生命的病毒,感染艾滋病毒患者一般经历四个阶段:i)艾滋病毒阴性的窗口期(W);ii)阳性的无症状潜伏期(E);iii)有症状期(Ⅰ);以及iv)移除阶段(A).为深入研究艾滋病传播过程,建立SWEIA艾滋病毒传染模型,定义基本再生数,分析无病与地方病平衡点的存在性和局部稳定性,根据2004至2015年中国艾滋病患者数据,采用遗传算法对SWEIA模型中参数进行估计.通过对基本再生数敏感性分析以及模型数值随参数不同而产生的变化,揭示艾滋病窗口期的接触率是影响艾滋病流行的主要原因之一.     

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A cured model is a useful approach for analysing failure time data in which some subjects could eventually experience and others never experience the event of interest. All subjects in the test belong to one of the two groups: the susceptible group and the non-susceptible group. There has been considerable progress in the development of semi-parametric models for regression analysis of time-to-event data. However, most of the current work focuses on right-censored data, especially when the population contains a non-ignorable cured subgroup. In this paper, we propose a semi-parametric cure model for current status data. In general, treatments are developed to both increase the patients' chances of being cured and prolong the survival time among non-cured patients. A logistic regression model is proposed for whether the subject is in the susceptible group. An accelerated failure time regression model is proposed for the event time when the subject is in the non-susceptible group. An EM algorithm is used to maximize the log-likelihood of the observed data. Simulation results show that the proposed method can get efficient estimations.     

基于向后逐步回归模型的我国农机需求特征及影响因素研究

以2004-2014年数据为样本,以农机总动力为因变量,以农机购置补贴、农机价格、农机作业服务价格、农户人均纯收入、农产品价格、农业劳动力数量和农作物播种总面积为自变量构建了我国农机需求影响因素的回归方程,向后逐步回归结果表明:(1)除农作物播种总面积、农机作业服务价格、农产品价格之外,其余变量对农机总动力的影响均统计上显著;(2)农机购置补贴、农机价格指数、农户人均纯收入及农业劳动力四个变量对农机需求的弹性系数分别为0.027、-0.004、0.457、0.474。最后根据研究结果提出加大与落实农机购置补贴、规范农机价格、培育新型经营主体、加速土地规范流转等政策建议。     

Computational method for optimal control of switched systems with input and state constraints

In this paper, we consider an optimal control problem of switched systems with input and state constraints. Since the complexity of such constraint and switching laws, it is difficult to solve the problem using standard optimization techniques. In addition, although conjugate gradient algorithms are very useful for solving nonlinear optimization problem, in practical implementations, the existing Wolfe condition may never be satisfied due to the existence of numerical errors. And the mode insertion technique only leads to suboptimal solutions, due to only certain mode insertions being considered. Thus, based on an improved conjugate gradient algorithm and a discrete filled function method, an improved bi-level algorithm is proposed to solve this optimization problem. Convergence results indicate that the proposed algorithm is globally convergent. Three numerical examples are solved to illustrate the proposed algorithm converges faster and yields a better cost function value than existing bi-level algorithms.     

Textile porosity determination based on a nonlinear heat and moisture transfer model

The inverse problems of textile materials design on heat and moisture transfer properties are important and indispensable in applications in the body-clothing-environment system. We present an inverse problem of textile porosity determination (IPTPD) based on a nonlinear heat and moisture transfer model. Adopting the idea of the least-squares, the mathematical formulation of IPTPD is deduced to a regularized optimization problem with collocation method applied. The continuity of the regularized minimization problem is proved. By means of genetic algorithm (GA), the approximate solution of the IPTPD is numerically obtained. To reduce the computational cost, an improved algorithm based on BP neural network with GA is proposed in the numerical simulation. Compared with the direct GA searching, the computational cost is greatly reduced, which presents a similar result.